thedogs - Casino 12 July 2018 Race 11

R11

1528

Julian Sexton on Sky Masters Stks

M1/M2/M3 411m

05:22 12 Jul

PHOTO FINISH

REPLAY

TRACK RECORD	22.77

PRIZE MONEY

$970

$635 - $195 - $140

$630 - $190 - $140

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RESULTS SHORT FORM EXPERT FORM ODDS

OUR TIPS

Last start 23.57 winner here ARISTOTLE (1) is well into the veteran stage but in addition to his last start victory he has a number of things in his favour in the last including 10 wins in 16 goes over 411m and 12 wins from 17 off the red, he's clearly the one to beat. Place hope include ORARA SHELL (2), ORARA SAL (4) and NEGATIVE BUZZ (6).

	NAME	R/T	G	TRAINER	LAST 4	TRK/DIST	Av 1^SEC
	Aristotle23.19 T: Warren Kempshall R/T:		M1	Warren Kempshall	1441		N/A

Comment:The veteran of the field but has a few things in his favour, he's a last start winner in 23.57 has won 10 of 16 over the trip and 12 of 17 from the rails.

CAREER

157: 46-36-24

TRACK & DIST

T/D BEST TIME

BOX 1 HISTORY

25: 13-6-3

PLC	WGT	DIST	DATE	TRACK	G	TIME	WIN	BON	1^SEC	MGN	W/2G	PIR	SP
1st	31.7kg	484	11:44 05 July 2018	CAPT	S	28.01			2.90			1	PASS
1st/8	31.3kg	411	04:52 29 June 2018	CASO	M1/M2/M3	23.57	23.57	23.06		1.50	Negative Buzz	4311	$2.90
4th/8	31.0kg	305	12:07 25 June 2018	GRAC	M1/M2/M3	17.97	17.85	17.72	3.19	1.75	Tiny Zesta	6654	$3.90
4th/8	30.9kg	411	05:32 15 June 2018	CASO	M1/M2/M3	23.80	23.53	23.21		3.75	Miss Spritely	3444	$1.40
1st/8	31.0kg	420	09:08 12 June 2018	LISM	M1/M2/M3	24.06	24.06	23.89		0.75	Alpha Iris	1111	$2.50
MOST RECENT 2 WINS
1st/6	31.8kg	259	09:08 28 May 2019	LISM	NG	15.14	15.14	14.82		0.75	Mac The Quick	311	$1.80
1st/8	32.6kg	411	01:16 18 January 2019	CASC	M1/M2/M3	23.56	23.56	23.26		6.25	Dark Cosmos	1111	$2.40

	NAME	R/T	G	TRAINER	LAST 4	TRK/DIST	Av 1^SEC
	Orara Shell24.03 T: Gary Smith R/T:		M3	Gary Smith	1122		N/A

Comment:He's been in good recent form in strong races at Grafton, doesn't go quite as well here but from the good draw he has to be given serious consideration.

CAREER

35: 11-6-1

TRACK & DIST

T/D BEST TIME

BOX 2 HISTORY

5: 3-1-1

PLC	WGT	DIST	DATE	TRACK	G	TIME	WIN	BON	1^SEC	MGN	W/2G	PIR	SP
2nd/8	25.9kg	305	03:57 06 July 2018	GRAC	4/5	17.80	17.73	17.53	3.14	1.00	Piecost	3222	$3.40
2nd/7	25.7kg	305	10:25 11 June 2018	GRAC	NG	17.68	17.56	17.56	3.12	1.75	Kooringa Maizie	2232	$5.10
1st/8	25.6kg	305	08:28 05 March 2018	GRAF	5	17.77	17.77	17.77	3.16	0.50	Bokarm Nala	5621	$5.00
1st/8	25.4kg	407	09:32 26 February 2018	GRAC	4/5	23.59	23.59	23.51	8.52	0.13	Canalai	4111	$2.90
5th/5	25.5kg	411	04:34 16 February 2018	CASO	5	24.08	23.49	23.37		8.25	Pop's Banjo	5555	$3.10
MOST RECENT 2 WINS
1st/8	25.6kg	305	08:28 05 March 2018	GRAF	5	17.77	17.77	17.77	3.16	0.50	Bokarm Nala	5621	$5.00
1st/8	25.4kg	407	09:32 26 February 2018	GRAC	4/5	23.59	23.59	23.51	8.52	0.13	Canalai	4111	$2.90

	NAME	R/T	G	TRAINER	LAST 4	TRK/DIST	Av 1^SEC
	Sudoku Rock23.69 T: Robert Bugeja R/T:		M2	Robert Bugeja	3614		N/A

Comment:Won his first race since 2016 when he scored here two runs back in 28.31but has failed at Grafton since and has only managed on placing in seven goes over 411m.

CAREER

96: 10-6-15

TRACK & DIST

T/D BEST TIME

BOX 3 HISTORY

15: 3-1-2

PLC	WGT	DIST	DATE	TRACK	G	TIME	WIN	BON	1^SEC	MGN	W/2G	PIR	SP
4th/8	31.0kg	480	05:56 04 July 2018	GRAC	5	28.52	28.08	27.43	12.87	6.25	Aye Vee Aye	87674	$41.30
1st/7	31.2kg	484	05:49 22 June 2018	CASO	M1/M2/M3	28.31	28.31	27.65	2.81	0.25	Flash Rose	1111	$4.60
6th/7	31.4kg	484	02:28 08 June 2018	CASC	5	28.67	28.11	27.48	2.98	8.00	La Jaydo Zulu	6666	$20.30
3rd/7	31.5kg	484	05:24 01 June 2018	CASO	M1/M2/M3	28.57	28.25	27.83	2.97	4.50	Flash Gee	7333	$8.20
7th/8	31.2kg	411	05:42 25 May 2018	CASO	M1/M2/M3	24.23	23.43	23.34		11.50	Aristotle	6777	$45.10
MOST RECENT 2 WINS
1st/7	31.2kg	484	05:49 22 June 2018	CASO	M1/M2/M3	28.31	28.31	27.65	2.81	0.25	Flash Rose	1111	$4.60
1st/8	31.8kg	484	03:24 30 September 2016	CASO	5	28.42	28.42	28.08	2.82	4.25	Kay Leavy	1111	$5.00

	NAME	R/T	G	TRAINER	LAST 4	TRK/DIST	Av 1^SEC
	Orara Sal23.22 T: Gary Smith R/T:		M3	Gary Smith	6254		N/A

Comment:Winner of two from four here over this trip and her recent form in strong races at Grafton has been sound, has the pace to overcome the box and run well again.

CAREER

57: 14-5-7

TRACK & DIST

T/D BEST TIME

BOX 4 HISTORY

14: 1-1-2

PLC	WGT	DIST	DATE	TRACK	G	TIME	WIN	BON	1^SEC	MGN	W/2G	PIR	SP
4th/8	26.3kg	407	07:12 04 July 2018	GRAC	NG	23.43	23.09	23.09	8.49	4.75	Bogan Bomber	2334	$14.20
5th/8	26.3kg	407	11:25 11 June 2018	GRAC	FFA	23.87	23.21	23.21	8.66	9.25	Senor Izmir	6455	$7.00
2nd/8	26.7kg	407	10:49 04 June 2018	GRAF	5	23.41	23.01	23.01	8.55	5.75	Spookie Dynamic	2222	$3.30
6th/7	26.4kg	407	10:52 28 May 2018	GRAC	FFA	23.80	23.46	23.19	8.88	4.75	Whistler Valley	3766	$2.90
1st/8	26.4kg	411	05:09 18 May 2018	CASO	5	23.22	23.22	23.22		2.00	Indominous Dane	1111	$5.50
MOST RECENT 2 WINS
1st/8	26.4kg	407	11:44 12 November 2018	GRAC	M1/M2/M3	23.20	23.20	23.17	8.35	0.75	Bokarm Bear	4111	$10.00
1st/4	26.5kg	407	11:19 23 July 2018	GRAC	M1/M2/M3	23.49	23.49	23.27		2.75	Nine Millimetre	3321	$1.20

	NAME	R/T	G	TRAINER	LAST 4	TRK/DIST	Av 1^SEC
	Spring Forte24.33 T: Colin Graham R/T:		M3	Colin Graham	3346		N/A

Comment:Slow beginner who hasn't won for some time and who is better suited in longer races, he'll be giving away to much start from the middle draw.

CAREER

88: 8-16-22

TRACK & DIST

T/D BEST TIME

BOX 5 HISTORY

15: 1-3-5

PLC	WGT	DIST	DATE	TRACK	G	TIME	WIN	BON	1^SEC	MGN	W/2G	PIR	SP
6th/8	33.7kg	484	03:54 15 June 2018	CASO	4/5	28.47	27.64	27.64	2.92	11.75	Bokarm Dean	7866	$17.30
4th/7	33.9kg	484	04:57 08 June 2018	CASC	NG	28.19	27.48	27.48	2.88	10.00	Terra Torra	5544	$11.80
3rd/6	33.5kg	520	10:28 22 May 2018	LISM	5	30.36	29.92	29.92	4.62	6.25	Him The Master	6533	$4.70
3rd/6	33.5kg	520	09:05 15 May 2018	LISM	5	30.34	29.96	29.96	4.60	5.25	Spookie Dynamic	5533	$5.30
6th/8	34.0kg	520	10:28 08 May 2018	LISM	5	30.42	30.14	29.69	4.58	4.00	Jonesy	5766	$14.40
MOST RECENT 2 WINS
1st/6	34.3kg	411	04:14 09 August 2019	CASO	M1/M2/M3	23.67	23.67	23.23		0.25	Tranquil Billy	5311	$2.80
1st/8	33.8kg	520	11:45 31 January 2019	APTH	M5	30.59	30.59	29.82	5.92	0.75	Brindi Chopper	871	$9.00

	NAME	R/T	G	TRAINER	LAST 4	TRK/DIST	Av 1^SEC
	Negative Buzz23.30 T: Allan Lang R/T:		M2	Allan Lang	4626		N/A

Comment:Mixing his form a bit lately but he has a handy record here over the 411m and he generally shows early pace no surprise to see him in the finish.

CAREER

62: 10-11-6

TRACK & DIST

T/D BEST TIME

BOX 6 HISTORY

11: 1-1-2

PLC	WGT	DIST	DATE	TRACK	G	TIME	WIN	BON	1^SEC	MGN	W/2G	PIR	SP
6th/8	33.5kg	411	03:32 05 July 2018	CASO	4/5	24.14	23.07	23.07		15.25	Raven Izmir	6	$13.90
2nd/8	33.8kg	411	04:52 29 June 2018	CASO	M1/M2/M3	23.67	23.57	23.06		1.50	Aristotle	1122	$2.90
6th/8	33.5kg	411	03:34 22 June 2018	CASO	4/5	23.96	23.32	23.32		9.25	Quiksilver Storm	1466	$4.40
4th/8	33.6kg	411	02:47 15 June 2018	CASO	5	23.69	23.21	23.21		6.75	Good To Know	4444	$4.00
5th/8	33.5kg	420	09:48 12 June 2018	LISM	4/5	24.60	24.38	23.89	9.75	3.00	Molly Lyndan	2255	$3.90
MOST RECENT 2 WINS
1st/7	34.2kg	411	04:14 02 March 2018	CASO	4/5	23.42	23.42	23.25		1.50	Rusty Towbar	1111	$2.80
1st/7	34.2kg	411	03:22 09 February 2018	CASC	NG	23.43	23.43	23.25		0.03	Terra Torra	1121	$20.20

	NAME	R/T	G	TRAINER	LAST 4	TRK/DIST	Av 1^SEC
	Firefly James23.55 T: Christopher Supple R/T:		M3	Christopher Supple	8333		N/A

Comment:Comes into this after finishing third at his last three starts here but he didn't run much time in any of the three and this looks harder, prefer others.

CAREER

77: 9-12-17

TRACK & DIST

T/D BEST TIME

BOX 7 HISTORY

9: 1-1-0

PLC	WGT	DIST	DATE	TRACK	G	TIME	WIN	BON	1^SEC	MGN	W/2G	PIR	SP
3rd/8	33.3kg	411	05:04 05 July 2018	CASO	5	23.68	23.65	23.07		0.50	Stormy Thunda	3	$14.70
3rd/5	33.2kg	411	05:19 29 June 2018	CASO	M1/M2/M3	23.85	23.62	23.06		3.25	Gunner Succeed	5433	$2.10
3rd/8	33.0kg	411	02:34 22 June 2018	CASO	5	23.88	23.67	23.32		3.00	Bazaar Mckenzie	7433	$28.20
8th/8	32.4kg	420	11:09 05 June 2018	LISC	4/5	25.31	24.02	23.79	10.45	18.25	Noela's Boy	8688	$21.00
4th/8	32.4kg	411	06:01 25 May 2018	CASO	M1/M2/M3	23.95	23.70	23.34		3.50	Tremaly Jack	6544	$3.10
MOST RECENT 2 WINS
1st/8	33.3kg	411	05:51 17 August 2018	CASO	M1/M2/M3	23.80	23.80	23.12		0.75	Flash Gee	3311	$6.10
1st/8	32.9kg	420	10:35 05 September 2017	LISC	4/5	24.16	24.16	23.89		0.13	Gundiva	2111	$9.90

	NAME	R/T	G	TRAINER	LAST 4	TRK/DIST	Av 1^SEC
	Kingsbrae Nelly23.50 T: Charles Northfield R/T:		M3	Charles Northfield	5648		N/A

Comment:Has a better record on other tracks and has been below her best recently but she does handle wide draws well, capable of figuring in the exotics.

CAREER

60: 9-6-4

TRACK & DIST

T/D BEST TIME

BOX 8 HISTORY

9: 2-0-0

PLC	WGT	DIST	DATE	TRACK	G	TIME	WIN	BON	1^SEC	MGN	W/2G	PIR	SP
8th/8	25.9kg	411	04:52 29 June 2018	CASO	M1/M2/M3	24.21	23.57	23.06		9.25	Aristotle	6788	$29.00
4th/5	26.3kg	484	05:34 22 June 2018	CASO	M1/M2/M3	28.57	27.94	27.65	2.94	9.00	Jappular	3344	$6.40
6th/7	26.3kg	484	05:24 01 June 2018	CASO	M1/M2/M3	28.92	28.25	27.83	2.93	9.50	Flash Gee	6566	$2.60
5th/8	26.3kg	411	05:42 25 May 2018	CASO	M1/M2/M3	24.12	23.43	23.34		9.75	Aristotle	7655	$14.90
7th/7	25.9kg	520	10:05 15 May 2018	LISM	M1/M2/M3	31.11	30.27	29.96	4.66	12.00	Inner Wisdom	5777	$4.10
MOST RECENT 2 WINS
1st/8	25.9kg	520	10:38 23 October 2015	LISM	NG	30.01	30.01	29.83	4.40	2.50	Miner's Moss	1111	$10.70
1st/8	25.9kg	520	09:58 16 October 2015	LISM	NG	30.32	30.32	29.98	4.50	1.25	Fabulous Storm	1	$11.50

	NAME	R/T	G	TRAINER	LAST 4	TRK/DIST	Av 1^SEC
	Oscar Della23.63 T: Lyn Morgan R/T:		M3	Lyn Morgan	4485		N/A

Comment:Three of his four wins were over the 411m here but the latest was in February 2017 and he was well beaten at Grafton when resuming July 9, prefer others.

CAREER

31: 4-5-3

TRACK & DIST

T/D BEST TIME

BOX HISTORY

PLC	WGT	DIST	DATE	TRACK	G	TIME	WIN	BON	1^SEC	MGN	W/2G	PIR	SP
5th/8	30.8kg	305	08:36 09 July 2018	GRAC	5	18.02	17.64	17.60	3.30	5.25	Tranquil Invader	7865	$26.40
8th/8	31.0kg	366	04:10 14 April 2018	CAPA	5	20.89	19.98	19.71		13.00	Don't Seamus	8	$5.00
4th/8	31.1kg	305	10:16 09 April 2018	GRAC	4/5	18.07	17.56	17.56	3.28	7.25	Bokarm Rosie	4854	$11.90
4th/6	30.8kg	407	02:30 20 January 2018	GRAF	FFA	23.71	23.14	23.14	8.77	8.25	Orara Sal	544	$5.00
4th/8	30.4kg	420	08:28 16 January 2018	LISM	5	24.44	24.24	24.04		2.75	Comanche County	5544	$16.60
MOST RECENT 2 WINS
1st/8	30.8kg	411	02:27 24 February 2017	CASO	4/5	23.80	23.80	23.75		0.13	Kingsbrae Lotte	2211	$11.90
1st/8	30.6kg	411	02:16 12 February 2016	CASO	5	23.63	23.63	23.62		14.75	Smuggums	1111	$1.90

PBD = ( Preferred Box Draw ) is the nominated starting trait approved by GWIC stewards.

R/T = (Running Trait) E = Excellent, G = Good, F = Fair, S = Slow, R = Risky. Starting Attribute: R = Railer, M = Middle, S = Straight, W = Wide Runner Other: NBT = No Best Time, SCR = Scratched, N/A = Not Available.

R/T = (Running Trait) E = Excellent, G = Good, F = Fair, S = Slow, R = Risky. Starting Attribute: R = Railer, M = Middle, S = Straight, W = Wide Runner.

Prices subject to change